Cindy Wagner
Submitted by Cindy Wagner on
Just as manufacturers "stand down" operations to focus their teams on safety issues, other organizations should stand down to brainstorm about the future. As Future Day approaches (March 1), here are some tips for organizing a Future Stand-Down Day for your organization.
Submitted by Dennis Bushnell on
The COVID-19 pandemic is and has been a singular event in the development of postindustrial econometrics, greatly accelerating several massive ongoing trends and technologies. The totality of these trends and technologies is changing and will continue to change where we live, our costs of living, independence, modes of transportation, econometrics, health, communications, housing, and the climate and ecosystem. By Dennis M. Bushnell
Just as we were saying “good riddance” to 2020 and its many plagues, 2021 happened—specifically, the January 6 mob attack on the U.S. Capitol in an attempt to thwart the certification of Joe Biden as the 46th president.
The scenario of an authoritarian regime rising in the United States no doubt appears on many futurists’ lists of wild cards (low probability, high impact events), and the threat of domestic terrorism is a long-standing one. Futurists now are exploring the consequences of these events.
Tim Mack
Submitted by Tim Mack on
Victor V. Motti “fell” into future studies from an initial intention to pursue a career in engineering, he tells readers at the opening of A Transformation Journey to Creative and Alternative Planetary Futures. Motti is now an international writer, speaker, foresight adviser and, since 2017, the director of the World Futures Studies Federation.
Submitted by Anonymous on
Change in race relations is coming faster, in part because of Donald Trump’s racist talk and his lack of empathy. That, plus the murder of George Floyd by a smiling police officer in Minneapolis has made Americans look themselves in the mirror. And they don’t like what they see. By Bob Chernow
In 2020, futurists around the world rose to multiple challenges by developing new projects, processes, and deliverables to keep clients, students, and the public at large informed, inspired, and forward looking. Below are a few highlights of foresight work in 2020 (plus some previews of 2021 activities).
AAI Foresight's managing principal, Tim Mack, provides an overview of the firm's 2020 research, consulting, and communications work, as well as recent news from the futurist and foresight community.
Tim Mack
Submitted by Tim Mack on
It has been said that foresight as a field has occasionally been short on systems thinking. I do not mean systems thinking as a discrete discipline in itself, which has had its ups and downs over the years, but instead as a through understanding of logistic structures and cross-disciplinary dynamics. In this context, it is also the case that engineering (especially electrical engineering) has not always had a significant voice in setting policy on renewable energy systems development, especially in the United States.
Extrapolating the trends of the past is a simple, but treacherous, way to envision the future, suggests Tim Mack, AAI Foresight managing principal, in his latest article for the Foresight Signals blog.
Tim Mack
Submitted by Tim Mack on
Martin Sorrell, CEO of WPP, once said to me (when I worked for him) that studying the future was not so useful as the past, as that was where he found guidance for most of his business decisions. Unfortunately, this was less than a year before he overleveraged his massive merger and acquisitions campaign and the stock value of WPP on the London Stock Exchange fell almost 80% in under a week.
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